COVID-19 crisis could return quickly as infections surge, UK adviser warns

England's coronavirus crisis could return again surprisingly quickly and the country is not yet out of the woods, the British government's chief medical adviser said, as infections surged ahead of the lifting of legal restrictions.

>>Reuters
Published : 16 July 2021, 01:54 PM
Updated : 16 July 2021, 01:54 PM

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is removing most pandemic restrictions in England from July 19, saying a rapid rollout of COVID-19 vaccines has largely broken the link between infections and serious illness or death.

Some scientists are worried, though, with daily reported cases are over 40,000 for the first time since January, and the reproduction "R" number remained above one, indicating a continued exponential growth of cases.

"We are not by any means out of the woods yet on this," Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty said late on Thursday during a webinar hosted by the Science Museum.

He added that the doubling time for hospitalisations was around three weeks, and that low numbers of people in hospital could escalate in next couple of months.

"It doesn't take many doublings until we're in actually quite scary numbers again ... I don't think we should underestimate the fact that we could get into trouble again surprisingly fast," Whitty said.

The Office for National Statistics Infection Survey, which estimates prevalence and is not sensitive to fluctuations in daily tests, showed that as many as 1 in 95 people in England might have been infected with COVID-19 in the week to July 10.

WRECKING THE ECONOMY

Britain's COVID-19 death toll is among the highest in the world but two-thirds of its adult population have been fully vaccinated.

On Monday, the last remaining businesses still closed in England, including nightclubs, can finally reopen, but business leaders have warned that the self-isolation requirement for people exposed to positive cases could hinder the economy.

Over 520,000 contact tracing alerts were sent through the National Health Service app in the week to July 7.

"On Monday we're going to have a situation where on the one hand we're opening up the economy, on the other hand we're closing down the economy," Karan Bilimoria, president of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), told LBC radio.

"The hospitality sector, 20% of staff are isolating, the health service up to 25% of staff are absent, and buses and trains delayed. This cannot go on ... This is wrecking the economy."

A spokesperson for Johnson said that "self-isolation remains one of the best tools that we have to tackle the virus".